Monday, Feb. 17, 2003
But Does It Add Up to War?
By Mitch Frank
HIDE-AND-SEEK
--THE CHARGES Iraq moved biological and chemical weapons prior to inspections, sometimes just minutes before
Iraq has several mobile biological-weapons labs hidden in tractor trailers and railcars
Saddam ordered missiles previously hidden in Baghdad palm groves sent to the western desert. Some are loaded with biotoxins
--THE EVIDENCE Satellite photos, intercepted phone calls, accounts of defectors and Iraqis still in the country
--SMOKING GUN? The satellite photos show hide-and-seek but require expert interpretation. The phone calls are suspicious, but only one is damning. The drawings of mobile labs are still just drawings
INTIMIDATION
--THE CHARGES Saddam ordered any scientist who talks put to death. Any scientist who leaves the country for interviews will be labeled a spy
A dozen scientists were confined to a presidential guesthouse and replaced at work by intelligence officers
Top Iraqi officials, including Saddam's son Qusay, head a committee to monitor inspectors
--THE EVIDENCE Accounts from human intelligence sources, including defectors and Iraqis still in the country
--SMOKING GUN? Saddam's methods of ensuring loyalty are horrifying but well known; Iraq is now allowing private interviews, knowing scientists' lips are sealed
WEAPONS IN THE WORKS
--THE CHARGES Iraq tried to import aluminum tubes, magnets and high-speed balancing machines, key components of uranium-enrichment centrifuges
Saddam built a new engine test platform and imported 350 engines for long-range missiles
Iraq is developing a drone with a 500-km range
--THE EVIDENCE Monitored financial transactions of Iraqi front companies, intercepted communications, satellite photos
--SMOKING GUN? The U.N. knew about the missile engines. Inspectors still dispute what the tubes are for, but the magnets and balancing machines prove Saddam wants uranium. The possibility of an anthrax-armed drone is terrifying Iraq's neighbors