HOW THEY STAND

With a good deal of maneuvering still to be done before the Democrats meet in Chicago, the pattern of first-ballot strength is taking form. The state-by-state picture, as assessed by TIME correspondents:

Alabama (26 votes): Headed by Senator John Sparkman (who hopes to be on the ticket with Adlai Stevenson again), the delegation is expected to give Stevenson at least 17 first-ballot votes, scatter the rest, e.g., Lyndon Johnson 1/2, Stuart Symington 1, Richard Russell 1/2.

Arizona (16): Split 7 for Stevenson, 5 for Averell Harriman, the rest undecided; the delegation (which will vote as a unit) will probably go to Favorite Son Ernest McFarland on the first ballot, then switch with the wind.

Arkansas (26): Delegation not yet chosen; probably will be uninstructed.

California (68): Firm for Primary Winner Stevenson.

Colorado (20) : Delegates to be selected July 20. Until then, Colorado is a happy hunting ground.

Connecticut (20): Following Governor Abraham Ribicoff and voting under the unit rule, 20 for Stevenson.

Delaware (10): Uncommitted, but leaning to Stevenson.

Florida (28): Settled by the primary, Stevenson 22, Kefauver 6.

Georgia (32): No decision likely until the civil rights issue has been fought out in Chicago, but most of the delegation (bound by the unit rule) seems to agree with Senatorial Candidate Herman Talmadge, who looks upon Stevenson as "the lesser of evils."

Idaho (12): Divided about evenly among Harriman, Stevenson and Kefauver. With that split, the delegation's unit-rule vote is still in doubt.

Illinois (64): Stevenson seems sure of 49 from his home state. Former U.S. Senator Scott Lucas and former Governor John Stelle have led a downstate revolt that has produced 15 anti-Stevenson, probably pro-Symington votes.

Indiana (26): All bound to unopposed Primary Winner Kefauver--for the first ballot. After that, a majority is expected to go to Stevenson.

Iowa (24): Stevenson has about 10, Kefauver 7 or 8, and Averell Harriman is making a major effort to win at least the undecided.

Kansas (16): The delegation is divided (a majority for Stevenson, about 5 for Harriman), but the unit rule indicates 16 first-ballot votes for Adlai.

Kentucky (30): All for Favorite Son A. B. "Happy" Chandler until he makes a deal.

Louisiana (24): Divided and undecided. Governor Earl Long, whose influence will be great, says he favors Stevenson but is "not married to him."

Maine (14): Publicly neutral, privately leaning 9 (including Governor Edmund Muskie) for Stevenson, 1 1/2 for Kefauver, 1 for Harriman, 2 1/2 undecided.

Maryland (18): All for Kefauver, the unopposed primary winner, on the first ballot.

Massachusetts (40): All for Favorite Son John McCormack on the first ballot, with indications pointing toward a later, sizable shift to Stevenson, who has the support of U.S. Senator John Kennedy and former Governor Paul Dever.

Michigan (44): For as long as he likes, Governor G. Mennen "Soapy" Williams, who has attacked Stevenson's "moderation," can hold Michigan for his favorite son candidacy. Then he can deliver the delegation to the candidate of his choice.

Minnesota (30): On the first ballot, as a result of the primary, Kefauver 26, Stevenson 4. Both Stevenson and Harriman are angling strongly for second-ballot support.

Mississippi (22) : Governor J. P. Coleman, whose influence will be great, leans to Stevenson, but the delegation is not likely to decide on its man until the civil rights issue is settled.

Missouri (38): Down the line with Favorite Son Symington.

Montana (16): All for unopposed Primary Winner Kefauver until he releases them or receives less than 20% of the convention vote.

Nebraska (12): Best bet is 8 for Stevenson, 4 for Kefauver.

Nevada (14): Present leanings indicate Symington 5, Stevenson 3 1/2, Harriman 1 1/2, Johnson and Kefauver each 1/2, and 3 undecided.

New Hampshire (8) To the bitter end with Primary Winner Kefauver.

New Jersey (36): Governor Robert Meyner will probably get 35 1/2 favorite-son votes on the first ballot, with the other 1/2 going to Kefauver. After that, probably a split, then a shift to the man who looks like the winner.

New Mexico (16): Divided, probably 10 for Stevenson, 6 for Harriman.

New York (98): 91 1/2 for Harriman, 6 1/2 for Stevenson.

North Carolina (36) : With the backing of Governor Luther Hodges, Stevenson is expected to get 30 on the first ballot, Harriman and Kefauver 1/2 each, with the rest undecided.

North Dakota (8): Although Harriman is making gains, present prospect is all 8 for Kefauver under the unit rule.

Ohio (58): 54 pledged to Governor Frank Lausche, 4 for anyone except Lausche; majority expected to shift quickly with the wind.

Oklahoma (28): All will follow Governor Raymond Gary for Harriman.

Oregon (16): All for Primary Winner Stevenson.

Pennsylvania (74) : 38 pledged to Stevenson, with the possibility that Governor George Leader and Pittsburgh's Mayor Dave Lawrence can increase his total to 60. The other 14 are swayed by Philadelphia's noncommittal Democratic City Chairman William Green, who has urged that Pennsylvania go slow on Stevenson.

Rhode Island (16): Probably 13 1/2 for Stevenson, 1 for Kefauver, 1 1/2 undecided.

South Carolina (20): Instructed for Governor George Bell Timmerman Jr.

South Dakota (8): Pledged to Primary Winner Kefauver for the first ballot, and then looking for a bandwagon.

Tennessee (32): Probably a courtesy call for Tennessee's Estes Kefauver on the first ballot, then a majority shift, behind Governor Frank Clement, to Adlai Stevenson.

Texas (56): For Favorite Son Lyndon Johnson, after that at the trading post.

Utah (12): Despite the efforts of State Chairman Milton Weilenmann, Harriman's field leader in 11 Western states, the best first ballot estimate is 8 for Stevenson, 4 for Harriman.

Vermont (6): 5 for Stevenson, another 1/2 leaning to him, and 1/2 for Stuart Symington.

Virginia (32): At the urging of Senator Harry Byrd, probably a unit vote for Lyndon Johnson on early balloting, then a switch to the leading candidate whose civil-rights stand seems least obnoxious.

Washington (26): All for Favorite Son Warren Magnuson on the first ballot. After that, probably a majority for Stevenson.

"West Virginia (24) : The prospect is 20 for Stevenson, 2 for Kefauver, 1 each for Harriman and Symington.

Wisconsin (28): All for unopposed Primary Winner Kefauver until released or until his convention total falls below 10%.

Wyoming (14); The outlook is Harriman 7, Stevenson 5 1/2, Kefauver 1 1/2.

Alaska (6): A majority favors Primary Winner Stevenson, which, under the unit rule, gives him all 6.

District of Columbia (6): All pledged to Primary Winner Stevenson. Canal Zone (3): Undecided.

Hawaii (6): Instructed to vote for Stevenson on the first ballot.

Virgin Islands (3): Favorable to Stevenson.

Puerto Rico (6): Undecided.

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